De taxas de erro de DRAM de Robin Harris: Nightmare on DIMM rua :
A two-and-a-half year study of DRAM on 10s of thousands Google servers found DIMM error rates are hundreds to thousands of times higher than thought — a mean of 3,751 correctable errors per DIMM per year.
Harris cita um estudo realizado ao longo de 2,5 anos na frota de servidores do Google . Observe que os servidores geralmente usam o EEC RAM, que realiza alguma correção de erros. Computadores no nível do consumidor geralmente não têm isso.
O Berke Durak da Lambda Diode calcula :
First, let's assume you have a system with no error-correction nor parity. The probability that you'll experience a bit error during the time T will be 1-(1-p)^m .
For T=1 hour , p = 1.3e-12 and m = 4*2^30*8 that gives 0.044 or 4.4% . That is quite a high probability. Indeed, in one day, that leads to a probability of 66% and in 72 hours to a probability of 96% .
So the probability of having at least one bit error in 4 gigabytes of memory at sea level on planet Earth in 72 hours is over 95% .
Eu não vou rir da próxima vez que um colega disser "raios cósmicos" quando falharmos em identificar a causa de um acidente ...